Some might call President Trump’s administration “chaotic.” Others might take a more positive view and call it “strategy.” But whichever side you take, there’s no denying the White House has shaken up its bureaucracy. Over the past month, Trump has fired several of his top officials, including Secretary of State Rex Tillerson, National Security Adviser H.R. McMaster, and Secretary of Veterans Affairs David Shulkin, and many are wondering who will be the next to go. Will Trump’s White House continue to destabilize? Or is this all part of a carefully calculated master plan to bring his agenda to fruition and Make America Great Again?
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Trump’s cabinet shakeup comes at a remarkable time. Tensions with Russia are on the rise, as Western nations blame the Bear for poisoning an ex-spy and his daughter recently in Salisbury, in England. John R. Bolton, Bush 43’s failed pick for Ambassador to the United Nations, will be entering Trump’s cabinet as the new National Security Adviser, and Mike Pompeo, head of the CIA, will be taking over at the State Department. Both men hold more negative views of Russia (particularly Bolton), while the outgoing Rex Tillerson was more moderate. Is Trump, who until now had taken a more neutral stance toward Russia, becoming a hawk? Is he abandoning the last vestiges of his non-interventionist policy in favor of a more traditional, neoconservative platform?
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Another pertinent question to ask is “what exactly is Trump trying to achieve?” The President came into office with a sweeping agenda, promising a complete repeal and replacement of Obamacare within months, as well as major tax reform, an increase in military spending, a massive infrastructure overhaul, and his (in)famous wall. Over a year later, and Obamacare is largely intact, tax reform passed months after schedule, and there is still no wall. With his recent vacillation on signing the one and a half trillion-dollar spending bill sent to him by Congress (spoiler alert: he signed it), Trump’s conservative credentials are under heightened scrutiny. Is he attempting to reinvent himself or his administration? Do these new appointees reflect a less radical, more mainstream Trump?
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In summary, while Trump’s cabinet shakeup is significant, it’s not much of a departure from the rest of his administration. What remains to be seen is its effect on the upcoming midterm elections, as well as their effect on Trump. Will a victory for Republicans mean more of the same? Or will a crushing defeat rouse them into action? Will Candidate Trump, with his “America First” agenda, take the helm? Or will President Trump continue his long, slow descent into the swamp he so much pledged to drain?
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